To be blunt & honest, who knows if it will be enough? You will find out this winter.
You can make some predictions of heat losses (various calculators online for standard construction, plus some that just take wall/roof/door/etc surface areas, temp differences, and
values), if you're one to crunch numbers. Otherwise know that my 20 ft yurt is *predicted* to lose 8k btu/hr (conduction) plus 3k btu/hr (infiltration/air changes) with an R-value of 7 & strawbales under the platform & 65 F temp difference. I'm hoping this works out but have a few backup plans if things get too cold (adding layers of
, sealing things up even more, supplementing
as needed). Other forum posts indicate I'm being very optimistic.
I moved into my yurt about two months ago--there's been a few somewhat cold, rainy, and/or windy days where I wish the yurt was at least better sealed up against drafts and maybe had a bit more insulation. But drafts steal sooo much heat and I haven't fixed my draft problems yet.
You haven't mentioned what type of canvas you have (vinyl/treated, plan, or other). The foil insulation won't breath at all, unless you get inventive with poking holes in it (kind of counter productive...).
Recommended air change over rates for residences are 1-2 complete swaps of air per hour. Except in high temps & humidity (ie, summer sometimes), this should generally keep the humidity (and thereby mold) down. 1-2 ach in my yurt works out to ~40-80 cfm--basically a 5 watt computer fan running constantly (120 W*hr/day, or 3.6 kw*hr/month, or 32 cents/month).
Get a temp & humidity monitor and keep an eye on it--if the inside
dewpoint is higher than the outside temp, you risk condensation & mold/mildew.
Best of luck!